SuperContest Week 15 Picks: The Home, $15,000, Turn-it-Around Stretch

By Adam Kramer   Dec. 13, 2014

The season, at least from my standpoint, can be salvaged. Disappointment can be erased. Positive financial developments can transpire if the next three weeks go far better than the weeks have gone before it.

Although my first Westgate SuperContest voyage—courtesy of Odds Shark—has not been the smoothest of trips, the final three weeks of the season present another possibility to cash.

There’s $15,000 up for grabs to the person (or persons) who deliver the most favorable three-week results. For people like me—people who went 1-4 last week—this presents a rather interesting and favorable proposition. Not all hope is lost…yet.

Last week, all hope was lost. Losers included the Bears (gross), the Dolphins (gross), the Eagles (nope) and the Chargers (double nope). At some point I will pick against New England and it will lose, although it may not come in this lifetime. (Spoiler: We’re gonna try again, though.)

The lone winner was the Browns. That concludes this portion of winners.

I’ve already turned my attention toward more winners, which I hope will come through this week. As always, the goal is to beat Odds Shark’s super smart computer; anything else is gravy.

Ahoy positive three-game stretches. Maybe. Hopefully.

 

Dolphins (+7.5) vs. Patriots: Back to the well—both of them—with feeling. Miami is better than they have looked, and they will show it accordingly.

Redskins (+6.5) vs. Giants: Curious line here. Given the way the Redskins have looked, it feels like it should be higher. I think Washington offers up a game effort in a loss.

Titans (+2) vs. Jets: The assumption is that the Jets will look like the more talented, less injured team. Ultimately, however, I think Tennessee finds a way to not lose less.

Eagles (-3) vs. Cowboys: It won’t be Thanksgiving, but it won’t have to be. Philadelphia picks up the disappointing pieces from last week and wins by (hopefully) more than three.

Bills (+4.5) vs. Packers: To me, this is the most interesting point spread all week. While Green Bay will ultimately eek out a win, Buffalo makes it tough. 


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  • SuperContest Week 14 Picks: No Good, Very Bad Thursdays

    By Adam Kramer   Dec. 07, 2014

    I am a glutton for Thursday punishment. This much is clear.

    It’s why I decided to follow-up my Thanksgiving SuperContest massacre by backing the Bears this week, which is another form of punishment in itself.

    We’ll get to that momentarily. But before we do, let’s assess the good and the bad from last week’s SuperContest picks, courtesy of Odds Shark.

    About those Bears. Well, I had them last week against the Lions as well. I also picked the 49ers on T-Day, which made my turkey day one of football carnage. From that point on, however, things improved. My other three picks—the Vikings, Falcons and Jaguars—all won. Jacksonville needed a rather tremendous comeback to complete this victory, although it eventually, thankfully, came.

    The end result was another 3-2 week, which pushed my overall record for the year above .500. That is not where I wanted to be when this whole thing started, although it’s better than where I’ve been.

    As always, the goal is to embarrass Odd Shark’s pick-making super computer. Anything else—preferably a winning week—will do just fine.

    Here are this week’s picks.

     

    Bears (+3.5) vs. Cowboys: It all looked so lovely on paper, then the Bears’ defense happened. That’s how you start 0-1.

    Miami (+2.5) vs. Ravens: Give me the Dolphins, and more importantly, give me this home field. I’ll take Miami at home and hope the offense has one of its good days.

    Cleveland (+3.5) vs Colts: No Manziel, no worries. I’d love to see him play – and he still might in this game – but that isn’t the plan. In fact, if he plays you might as well count this as a loss, because it means things did not go well at the start.

    Eagles (-1) vs. Seahawks: From an overall watchability standpoint, this one is quite high. I love the way Philly is playing right now, and I think they best the defending champs outside their arena.

    Chargers (+3.5) vs. Patriots: While many will forecast a bounce back for New England, I’m going the other way. At home, I like San Diego to cover and win this one outright.


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  • SuperContest Week 13 Picks: Overcoming the Turkey

    By Adam Kramer   Nov. 29, 2014

    Last week it was about reaching .500. Done.

    This week it’s about staying above .500, although this is where it gets slightly more complicated. We’ll get to precisely why that’s the case and how some early Thanksgiving destruction could throw things for a loop, but first let’s explore what went right and what went wrong a week ago.

    My first voyage in the Westgate SuperContest—courtesy of Odds Shark—has been mainly an upward climb. Things have gone well, at times, although sustaining a long, stable run simply hasn’t happened. Take last week for example.

    The good came with the Raiders, the Giants (barely), and the Seahawks against the Cardinals. And while we have a moment, let us celebrate the most incredible “you shouldn’t be celebrating here” celebration of the season.

    I love you so much, Raiders.

    The bad came when I picked the Lions against the Patriots and the Texans against the Bengals. Tom Brady has done a number on me this season, and Cincinnati decided it was time to look like the team we expected to see before the season began.

    Overall, I ended up 3-2. That’s not horrendous—and it pushed me over .500 for the year—although the excitement was short-lived. You’ll see why as we dive into this week’s picks.

    As always, the goal is to make Odds Shark’s football-picking super computer cry. Anything more is gravy. To do so this week, however, we’re going to need to close strong. Thanksgiving was not kind.

     

    Bears (+7) vs. Lions: I thought that Chicago would take advantage with Detroit’s offense struggling, and I thought that the Bears’ offense would make plays. This all looked so promising for 15 minutes.

    49ers (+1) vs. Seahawks: Here’s the thing. When the owner of the team you pick apologizes for his organization performance shortly following the game—on Thanksgiving no less—chances are it did not go well. 0-2 ahoy.

    Jaguars (+2.5) vs. Giants: Let us start our winning ways by backing a team handed a fascinating line by Vegas. Although New York is coming off a game in which it played quite well—and Odell Beckham stopped the earth from spinning with one catch—I think Jacksonville gets them at a great time here.

    Vikings (-2.5) vs. Panthers: I’m backing Teddy Bridgewater and Minnesota giving points to Carolina. There is no way to feel good about where the Panthers are trending—as evident by this line—which is why we’re feeling confident in the short fav.

    Falcons (+2.5) vs. Cardinals: This is not just a Drew Stanton fade, although last week’s performance against Seattle certainly is worth noting. I believe Arizona is still a very good team; but I also think your playoff-ready Atlanta Falcons come away victorious here. God bless the NFC South.


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