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SuperContest Week 17 Picks: This is the End

I suppose the headline says everything that needs to be said. This is indeed the end.

My first voyage into the Westgate SuperContest (courtesy of Odds Shark) will end with a whimper. Well, sort of.

I’m out of the money and out of all levels of respectability when it comes to season-long picking. However, I did pull off a 4-1 performance in Week 16, and I’m hoping to close out the season favorably. This is what playing for pride looks like, but we’re doing it anyway.

Before we look ahead at these “playing for pride” picks, here’s what happened last weekend.

The lone loss came in truly horrific fashion. The 49ers, comfortably ahead, managed to slip on a banana peel against San Diego. Outside of this ugly one to stomach, the rest was quite positive. The Bears, Falcons, Cowboys and Bengals all covered, which was encouraging. It wasn’t enough to get me in the mix for the mini-contest, although, again, baby steps.

With that out of the way, here are the final picks for Week 17. Even though it has not exactly gone my way, it’s been a pleasure to be a part of. Here are the five picks we’re ending with.

Packers (-7.5) vs. Lions: I think a great deal of Detroit’s defense, but the loss at center and overall quarterback edge is why I’m laying the hook here.

49ers (-6) vs. Cardinals: The great Harbaugh finale will end… on a high note. Although the head coach is out after this game, San Fran takes advantage of a rough QB situation with a victory.

Bills (+4.5) vs. Pats: It’s an interesting situation for a game, one where motivation will certainly play a role. New England, ready for the playoffs, just squeaks past a very good Buffalo defense.

Titans (+7) vs. Colts: Indy has not played well and Tennessee is eying an early draft pick. With all that on the table, the Titans stay close to the struggling Colts in the finale.

Giants (-3) vs. Eagles: With the playoffs out of the equation, Chip Kelly and Co. go golfing. New York closes out the regular season with a win over its NFC East rival.


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  • Published On Dec. 28, 2014 by Adam Kramer
  • SuperContest Week 16 Picks: All That’s Left to Do

    We’ve reached the “play for pride” portion of the program. Perhaps it was only a matter of time.

    My first run in the Westgate Super Contest—courtesy of Odds Shark—has been a roller coaster of sorts. Much of the time, however, I’ve spent trying to climb upward only to full hopelessly down.

    As a result, the last two weeks are really all about finishing up. There will be no prizes handed out my way, nor should there be. I just have not gotten it done.

    Last week, in many ways, was a summary of how things have done. I had the Bills over the Packers—a lovely little win—although the rest didn’t add up. Miami, despite closing in at half, was eventually blown out. The Titans, despite leading late, gave it up to the Jets. The Eagles and Redskins capped things off by throwing up duds, which is the appropriate word to describe my recent stretch.

    But we are not done yet. Although my contest hopes are up in flames, there are still two weeks left and winners (hopefully) to be picked.

    And as long as the Odds Shark super computer is still making picks, well, I’m going to do the same. Here are the Week 16 picks. Fade—and I mean fade—accordingly.

     

    49ers (-1) vs. Chargers: At some point, it’s going to come together for San Francisco. That point may come next season with a new coach, but I believe we’ll see signs far earlier than that.

    Bears (+6.5) vs. Lions: Betting on Jimmy Clausen is akin to playing that knife game from Aliens. What a horrible, misplaced idea, but when it works, oh does it work. Bears keep it semi-close-ish. 

    Cowboys (-3) vs. Colts: Even with Demarco Murray banged up, this brand of football may not matchup well with Indy. I look for the Dallas offensive line to do what it does and the Cowboys to win by a touchdown as a result.

    Falcons (+6.5) vs. Saints: In a game that could inexplicably have playoff ramifications, I like Atlanta to put up a good enough fight. It’s hard to predict how both will respond, although I believe the Falcons’ offense is the difference.

    Bengals (+3) vs. Broncos: Oh, get your Peyton Narrative-ometers ready. Playing for their playoff lives, however, I think the Dalton Narrative-ometers stay quiet. The Bengals get a surprise win with this very short line.


    • Does really anyone think that the 49ers without Harbaugh can do better? Maybe, but I see it more than difficult...
      Ruben Caldwell
  • Published On Dec. 20, 2014 by Adam Kramer
  • SuperContest Week 15 Picks: The Home, $15,000, Turn-it-Around Stretch

    The season, at least from my standpoint, can be salvaged. Disappointment can be erased. Positive financial developments can transpire if the next three weeks go far better than the weeks have gone before it.

    Although my first Westgate SuperContest voyage—courtesy of Odds Shark—has not been the smoothest of trips, the final three weeks of the season present another possibility to cash.

    There’s $15,000 up for grabs to the person (or persons) who deliver the most favorable three-week results. For people like me—people who went 1-4 last week—this presents a rather interesting and favorable proposition. Not all hope is lost…yet.

    Last week, all hope was lost. Losers included the Bears (gross), the Dolphins (gross), the Eagles (nope) and the Chargers (double nope). At some point I will pick against New England and it will lose, although it may not come in this lifetime. (Spoiler: We’re gonna try again, though.)

    The lone winner was the Browns. That concludes this portion of winners.

    I’ve already turned my attention toward more winners, which I hope will come through this week. As always, the goal is to beat Odds Shark’s super smart computer; anything else is gravy.

    Ahoy positive three-game stretches. Maybe. Hopefully.

     

    Dolphins (+7.5) vs. Patriots: Back to the well—both of them—with feeling. Miami is better than they have looked, and they will show it accordingly.

    Redskins (+6.5) vs. Giants: Curious line here. Given the way the Redskins have looked, it feels like it should be higher. I think Washington offers up a game effort in a loss.

    Titans (+2) vs. Jets: The assumption is that the Jets will look like the more talented, less injured team. Ultimately, however, I think Tennessee finds a way to not lose less.

    Eagles (-3) vs. Cowboys: It won’t be Thanksgiving, but it won’t have to be. Philadelphia picks up the disappointing pieces from last week and wins by (hopefully) more than three.

    Bills (+4.5) vs. Packers: To me, this is the most interesting point spread all week. While Green Bay will ultimately eek out a win, Buffalo makes it tough. 


    • The Super Contest includes more than 1,400 participants picking games each week to see who can come out on top ...
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  • Published On Dec. 13, 2014 by Adam Kramer