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SuperContest Week 5 Picks: Time to Make a Move

At some point, if I’m hoping to be/stay competitive in the SuperContest, I’m going to have to make a move.

Why not now? And more importantly, why not make a surge during a week that could be very public or, hopefully, the exact opposite?

My first SuperContest appearance has not been the smoothest of sailing. Thanks to Odds Shark, I’m in the world’s most incredible football pick ‘em pool for the very first time, and thus far, well, that’s about all you can say about it. Last week was better (but not by much).

I won with the Vikings and the Chiefs—two picks I felt good about—and lost with the Jets (ugh), Titans (double ugh) and the 49ers. The San Francisco loss was particularly hard to stomach given how that game transpired and the line given, but that’s the way it goes.

Looking ahead to this week—because that’s been a theme thus far—I’m hoping for a 4-1 or 5-0 week to help turn around fortunes. In an effort to jumpstart matters, I’m siding away from the plays that should be very public and putting on an ill-fitting wise guy cap.

Here are the SuperContest plays for Week 5. Play and/or fade accordingly.

Patriots +1 vs. Bengals: After the debacle that was last week, New England bounces back big at home in the game your sucker buddy has been touting all week. He LOVES Cincinnati because of course he does. Don’t be that guy (or gal).

Bills +7 vs. Lions: Kyle Orton, neck beard and all, is strangely competent. And while Buffalo has struggled over the past two weeks, the quarterback change will help immensely en route to a cover.

Texans +5.5 vs. Cowboys: Dallas has been one the bigger surprises this far of the young NFL season, and yet—outside of New Orleans, and who knows how good the Saints are—it hasn’t exactly come against premier competition. The Texans aren’t exactly elite, but it does have pieces and I like the, in this spot.

Saints -10 vs. Buccaneers: Speaking of the Saints, New Orleans, like my picks, has to get it right at some point. This might not be a Super Bowl team, but there’s entirely too much offense to be this average. Playing against Tampa Bay coming off a big win, NO wins for fun. Hopefully.

Eagles -7 vs. Rams: Speaking of getting it right, the Philly offense can’t get much worse than it’s been thus far. With the Rams on deck and a necessary home visit in the cards, however, the Eagles should be able to get right in a big way. (Aka, a victory by double digits.)

The Odds Shark super computer and I are going to head-to-head on one matchup, agreeing on one and going our separate ways for the others. The computer doesn’t want a piece of these picks, clearly.


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  • Published On Oct. 05, 2014 by Adam Kramer
  • The ‘On the Line’ Handicapping Podcast: Week 6

    I don’t need to lecture on how good this week is; you’re already plenty aware.

    With that said, I’m going to lecture on how good this week of college football is, at least momentarily: It’s really, really good.

    OK, now that we got that over, let’s get to the games: Alabama-Ole Miss, Miss State-Texas A&M, Stanford-Notre Dame, Oklahoma-TCU, Michigan State-Nebraska and soooooooo much more were covered here. Also, things get kind of weird at the end, which is always fun.

    Listen below, listen on  iTunes (where you should totally subscribe and tell others to subscribe) or listen on your Android device. Wherever you listen, we hope you enjoy. See you next week.

    Cheers.


    • I have never been out to Vegas and placed wagers. My betting strategy is simple, find whatever option has the ...
      Miguel "Mikey C" Cortez
  • Published On Oct. 01, 2014 by Adam Kramer
  • SuperContest Week 4 Picks: Let the Healing Begin

    So, we’re going to try this again. And this time, I promise to do better nothing.

    In my SuperContests picks last week, I went 1-4. I put my faith in the Jets, oops. I thought the Bills would take advantage of home field against a west coast team, oops. I backed the Dolphins, grrrrrross. And, because why not put it all out there, I picked the Jags. There isn’t the right word for this one, so I won’t bother trying to define it.

    Well, actually, let’s define it with a GIF.

    I also picked the Lions over the Packers, and I’d like to keep the focus on the positive as we look ahead to this week’s picks. For those just tuning in, Odds Shark sponsored a handful of us into the SuperContest, which means we have a chance at fortune. Some are taking advantage of this awesome opportunity, using the site’s amazing list of trends, others are betting the Jaguars.

    BUT that changes here, with these five picks. We’re going heavy on underdogs this week, although we begin with a favorite.

    49ers (-5.5) vs. Eagles: I think this line speaks volumes. Vegas clearly believes that San Fran will bounce back, which is why the line is where it is. At some point, Screamy Harbaugh has to get this right.

    Jets (+1.5) vs. Lions: I am back on that horse, and again, I am backing a line that will get a ton of betting interest on the other side. The Jets are much better than they’ve played… maybe. Hopefully.

    Vikings (+3) vs. Falcons: I am the president, vice president and secretary of the Teddy Bridgewater fan club, and by the looks of this point spread, I have company. The public should be all over ATL, which is why I’m going the other direction.

    Titans (+7.5) vs. Colts: On the topic of public plays, enter the Titans-Colts. After what Indy did last week, the Colts will likely be a popular Sunday selection. This is a matchup that is typically close, and I think it will be so again, which is why I’m taking the touchdown plus even with a backup QB in play.

    Chiefs (+3.5) vs. Patriots: It’s odd to see New England bleeding Vegas buzz, and yet, it seems warranted given the start. I think KC takes advantage of the home field on Monday night and wins this game outright.


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  • Published On Sep. 28, 2014 by Adam Kramer